Caped Crusader

36,000? EVERY YEAR?? Come on!!

In Educate before you Vaccinate on January 13, 2009 at 1:32 pm

Ever read

Where does the CDC come up with

36K Flu Deaths?

 

From Sherry Tenpenny

Predicting 36,000 deaths

The CDC claims that influenza is “a highly contagious virus that causes an average of 36,000 deaths and 200,000 hospitalizations in the U.S. every year.” But how does the CDC determine the number of deaths related to influenza? Where is the tangible, annual report somewhere in the CDC’s database with an actualnumber of reported deaths among adults, such as the 152 reported deaths among children? These questions deserve answers. Upon intense investigation, I uncovered a startling truth.

The CDC receives information on influenza cases from a several different sources. During each October to May period, the CDC receives weekly reports from approximately 120 World Health Organization (WHO) and National Respiratory and Enteric Virus Surveillance System (NREVSS) collaborating laboratories in the United States regarding influenza virus isolations. In addition, reports from several hundred “sentinel physicians” are received regarding the total number of patient visits and the number of visits for influenza-like illness (ILI). Sentinel physicians are randomly selected physicians who work in the community or for local health departments who collect nasal swabs on patients reporting flu-like symptoms. These swabs are sent to laboratories for organism identification and quantification.

A third source is the state and territorial epidemiologists who estimate the level of local influenza activity. The final source, the vital statistics offices for 122 cities across the country, report the total number of death certificates filed and the number of those in which 1) pneumonia was identified as the underlying cause of death or 2) influenza was listed anywhere on the death certificate. These reports from death certificates are filed throughout the year. From the number of positive nasal swabs and the complied data from epidemiological  death certificates, the CDC “determines” the number of deaths per year from influenza. [vii]

A CDC spokesman, Mr. Curtis Allen told Insight Magazine last year,
“There are a couple problems with determining the number of deaths related to the flu because most people don’t die from influenza – they die from complications of influenza – so the numbers [of deaths] are based on mathematical formulas. We don’t know exactly how many people get the flu each year because it’s not a reportable disease and most physicians don’t do the test [nasal swab] to indicate whether [the symptoms are caused by] influenza.” [viii]

Hence, the oft-repeated “36,000 deaths nationwide” is nothing more than a computer-generated, ominous-sounding guesstimate, rather than an actual number.

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  1. I’d rather the computer guesstimate be 3,600 or 36,000 than the epic numbers that could occur if this thing really gets out of control or mutates. Interesting tho.

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